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表现不佳,中超亚冠技术积分恐被泰超拉开差距(中超近况欠佳,亚冠技术分或被泰超进一步拉大差距)

Summarizing AFC performance

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I’ve been thinking about the AFC Champions League and recent performances. As of the 2023-24 season, Shandong Taishan reached the quarterfinals before being defeated by Yokohama F. Marinos, who actually won the tournament. Thai clubs like Bangkok United and Buriram also made it to the quarterfinals. For the 2024-25 season, there will be changes with the introduction of Champions League Elite and ACL2, and Thailand's ranking might be benefitting from China's pandemic struggles.Explaining ranking calculations

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I'm explaining how the technical points are calculated in AFC rankings. The points are based on match results over the last four seasons: each win is 3 points, draws are 1 point, and there's a bonus depending on the competition stage. The sum of association points is normalized by the number of teams, plus there’s a weight for the national team. Thailand has benefited from consistent participation, while China's past seasons saw issues that widened the gap. For the 2024-25 ACL, it seems no Chinese club qualified for ACL Elite.Discussing ACL Elite participation

As of 2024, the ACL Elite participants include teams from Japan, Korea, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Iran, and Uzbekistan, but I'm unsure if Thailand secured a spot. There seems to be some debate around this. It might be wise to avoid making specific claims and talk in general terms about the situation. Clubs should focus on prioritizing the ACL, registering stronger foreign players, and aiming for group-stage wins to improve coefficients. If the gaps widen, China risks losing automatic group slots. If the user wants, I can pull the latest standings or discuss article options.Offering analysis on ACL pressure

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I'll provide a concise analysis and follow up with a question about the preferred format. The title could be "亚冠技术积分压力." Here’s what I plan to include in about six to eight bullet points:

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  • Core conclusion: Recent CSL performance in the ACL has been low, with points not exceeding those from the Thai league, risking further widening gaps due to pandemic years.
  • Key mechanism: Technical points are based on rolling results over 4 or 5 years, including win/draw/loss and progression bonuses.
  • Current status: The CSL struggled in 2021-22 but slightly rebounded in 2023-24; Thai clubs have had teams reach the knockout stages.
  • Direct impact: The potential for reduced slots in the ACL Elite, requiring more playoffs and difficult draws.
  • Competitive comparison: The Thai league has faster games and improved foreign player management, while the CSL faces scheduling challenges.
  • Key strategies: Clubs should target easy group wins, prioritize home victories, and optimize foreign player usage.
  • Association level: Improve scheduling to minimize conflicts, and provide incentives for teams reaching the knockout rounds.
  • Time window: The next 1-2 seasons are crucial; if there’s no advancement in the group stage, gaps will solidify.

After that, I’ll ask if the user wants this in a 500-800 word quick analysis or a data-driven piece with tables.

  • 核心判断:近两季中超在亚冠的胜率、晋级轮次和场次积分均弱于泰超;叠加疫情阶段的“低分年”仍在滚动周期内,技术积分被继续拉开存在现实风险。
  • 规则要点:亚足联俱乐部技术积分按近几个赛季滚动累计;胜3平1、淘汰赛与小组第一有奖金分;协会积分=参赛俱乐部总分/参赛队数,重在“人均产出”,弱队拖累明显。
  • 现状速览:中超在疫情年(青年军/退赛)几乎“挂零”,基数偏低;2023-24略有回暖但整体出线质量不稳;泰超(如武里南、曼谷联)连续打到淘汰赛,人均得分更扎实。
  • 潜在影响:名额与档位被动——精英组/ACL2直入名额可能缩减,更多球队需打附加赛;分档下滑导致抽签更艰难,形成“强者恒强”的负循环。
  • 差距成因:赛程拥挤与轮换质量不足、外援磨合与旅行成本偏高、客场拿分率低;泰超投资更集中、稳定班底+定点补强,战术执行度高。
  • 追分抓手(俱乐部):明确亚冠优先级;主场力保3分、客场以低成本博平为底线;外援名额报满且针对性配置;加强定位球与防守转换以提升客场期望值。
  • 协会配套:优化联赛与亚冠窗口冲突;对出线球队给注册/报名政策倾斜与旅途支持;减少“摊薄”名额(宁可少队高产也好过多队低产)。
  • 时间窗口:未来1–2季是止跌关键,至少保证“连续两季有球队打进八强”,才能稳住分档与名额结构。

需要我把这做成哪种稿件?

  1. 500–800字快评(媒体口吻)
  2. 数据向深度稿(含积分机制、近四季人均积分对比与名额测算)
  3. 赛季复盘(逐队战绩+关键回合)
  4. 俱乐部实操清单(技术路线与赛程管理)